FBI: Murders Up 4,901 In 2020, Black Share Of Known Murder Offenders Reaches Record 56.5%
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Earlier: The Racial Wreckening Sees Murders Up By Almost 5,000

The FBI has finally released its 2020 Uniform Crime Reporting data from most (but, as usual, not all) of the law enforcement agencies in the U.S. I concentrate on murders, the most accurately reported crime.

Murders and non-negligent manslaughters were up a record-crushing 29.4%, in line with my January 6, 2021 estimate: “Therefore, the national figure is perhaps in the 25 to 30 percent growth range, double the worst year previously recorded, 1968.”

In the FBI’s expanded homicide data, the black share of known murder offenders increased to a new record of 56.52%.

But, the big news is that while the number of known murder offenders (who can therefore be tabulated racially) increased by 17.3 percent, the number of Unknown murder offenders grew 36.0%. Traditionally, murders in black neighborhoods tend to have the lowest clearance rate, what with snitches getting stitches.

So the black share of murder offenders likely went up even more.

As usual, the FBI stats sloppily lump together Hispanics and non-Hispanic whites into a white supercategory that is out of sync with how most government agencies have thought about race and ethnicity over the last generation. Hence, I just look at black vs. nonblack (white, Hispanic, Asian, American Indian, etc.).

With the new 2020 Census, a somewhat sizable delta has opened up between the percentage of people who say they are racially black and nothing else (12.4%, including black Hispanics) versus people who say they are either all black or also black and something else (14.2%).

Which definition of black are the cops using when they charge somebody with murder? I dunno … probably some use one way, some another.

If you use the more expansive latter figure for the at least partially racially black population of 14.2%, then the ratio of black (and blackish) known murder offenders to nonblack known murder offenders in 2020 was 8.4 to 1. (If you use the more restrictive black-only figure of 12.4%, you get a black to non-black ratio of 9.8 to 1.)

Incredibly, even the lower (at least part-black) ratio of 8.4 to one is a little higher than the per capita male-to-female known murder offender ratio of 7.5 to 1.

FBI 2020 Uniform Crime Reporting: Murder and Non-Negligent Manslaughter Offenders

  2019 2019 2020 2020 Chg % Chg #
    % of Known   % of Known    
Total Murders 16,669   21,570   29.4% 4,901
Murders Reported in Expanded Homicide Data 14,548   17,815   22.5% 3,267
Total Murder Offenders reported 17,179   21,061   22.6% 3,882
Unknown Murder Offenders 4,862   6,612   36.0% 1,750
Known Murder Offenders 12,317 100.00% 14,449 100.00% 17.3% 2,132
Black or African American 6,809 55.28% 8,166 56.52% 19.9% 1,357
White (incl most Hispanics) 5,146 41.78% 5,866 40.60% 14.0% 720
American Indian or Alaska Native 178 1.45% 215 1.49% 20.8% 37
Asian 143 1.16% 154 1.07% 7.7% 11
Native Hawaiian 41 0.33% 48 0.33% 17.1% 7
All Known Nonblack Offenders 5,508   6,283     775
All Known Black Offenders 6,809   8,166     1,357
Share of Population: Black Alone 12.4%   12.4%      
Share of Population: Some Black 14.2%   14.2%      
Per Capita Known Murder Offender Ratio: Black Alone to Nonblack 9.3   9.8      
Ratio: Some Black to Nonblack 8.0   8.4      
Unknown Offender Sex     6,242      
Known Offender Sex     14,819 100.00%    
Male     13,078 88.25%    
Female     1,741 11.75%    
Ratio: Male to Female     7.5      
# of police depts sending in Expanded Homicide Data 15,334 18,674 15,875 18,623   541
% Coverage   82.1%   85.2%    
The percentage of police departments that submitted expanded homicide data in 2020 was up 3 percentage points over 2019, but still missed 15% of LEOs.

For example, although Louisiana has had the highest murder rate for the last 30 years, some analysts suspect that if more Mississippi PDs bothered to send in their numbers, Mississippi would be #1 with a bullet.

[Comment at Unz.com]

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